Monographie

Clear thinking : structured analytic techniques and strategic foresight analysis for decisionmakers / Randolph H. Pherson, Ole Donner, Oliver Gnad

Type de contenu
  • Texte
Type de médiation
  • sans médiation
Type de support
  • Volume
Titre(s)
  • Clear thinking : structured analytic techniques and strategic foresight analysis for decisionmakers / Randolph H. Pherson, Ole Donner, Oliver Gnad
Auteur(s)
Autre(s) auteur(s)
Publication
  • Cham : Springer
Date de copyright
  • C 2024
Description matérielle
  • 1 vol. (XIX-243 p.) : ill., cartes, graph., diagr., tabl. ; 24 cm
Collection
  • Professional practice in governance and public organizations 2731-9784
ISBN
  • 978-3-031-48765-1
EAN
  • 9783031487651 rel.
Appartient à la collection
  • Professional practice in governance and public organizations (Print) 2731-9776
Classification décimale Dewey
  • 153.42
Note sur les bibliographies et les index
  • Bibliogr. p. 241-243. Notes bibliogr. Glossaire
Note sur le contenu
  • Chapter 1. Setting the Stage Chapter 2. Understanding How We Think: System I and System 2 Chapter 3. Conceptualizing Your Topic Chapter 4. Blackout In Berlin! Chapter 5. Terror in Stockholm Chapter 6. Conflict or Cooperation in the Arctic? Chapter 7. Optimizing the Impact of Your Product Chapter 8. Outlook
Résumé ou extrait
  • This book enables analysts in government and the private sector as well as policy advisors and decision makers to assess global risks and opportunities systematically, make well-founded and informed decisions, and anticipate the unanticipated. The authors illuminate the basics of intuitive and analytical thinking and how structured techniques can mitigate the impact of cognitive biases, misapplied heuristics, and intuitive traps. Three case studies illustrate how to apply over 30 Structured Analytic Techniques (SATs) with step-by-step instructions. The final chapter focuses on how to optimize the impact of your analytic product, be it a paper, briefing, or digital display.
Sujet - Nom commun
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