Monographie

Restraint and the future of warfare : the changing global environment and its implications for the U.S. Air Force / Bryan Frederick and Nathan Chandler

Type de contenu
  • Texte
Type de médiation
  • sans médiation
Type de support
  • Volume
Titre(s)
  • Restraint and the future of warfare : the changing global environment and its implications for the U.S. Air Force / Bryan Frederick and Nathan Chandler
Autre type de relation
  • Peering into the crystal ball : holistically assessing the future of warfare
  • Future of warfare in 2030 : project overview and conclusions
  • Geopolitical trends and the future of warfare : the changing global environment and its implications for the U.S. Air Force
  • Military trends and the future of warfare : the changing global environment and its implications for the U.S. Air Force
  • Global economic Trends and the future of warfare : the changing global environment and its implications for the U.S. Air Force
  • Environment, geography, and the future of warfare : the changing global environmentand its implications for the U.S. Air Force
Auteur(s)
Autre(s) auteur(s)
Autre(s) responsabilité(s)
Publication
  • Santa Monica (Calif.) : Rand
Date de copyright
  • C 2020
Description matérielle
  • 1 vol. (XIII-77 p.) : ill., cartes, graph., diagr., tabl. ; 23 cm
Collection
  • The Future of warfare
ISBN
  • 1-977403-00-X
  • 978-1-977403-00-1
EAN
  • 9781977403001 br.
Appartient à la collection
  • The Future of warfare
Classification décimale Dewey
  • 355.020 112
Note sur la description bibliographique
  • Consultable à l'adresse
Note sur les zones de lien
  • Voir aussi RAND/RB-10073-AF, RAND/RR-2849/1-AF, RAND/RR-2849/2-AF, RAND/RR-2849/3-AF, RAND/RR-2849/4-AF, RAND/RR-2849/5-AF
Note sur les bibliographies et les index
  • Bibliogr. p. 61-77
Note sur le contenu
  • Global Restraint Trends Trend 1: The Spread of Lawfare Trend 3: Increasing Effectiveness of False Accusations Trend 4: Increasing Public Concern for Civilian Casualties Conclusion
Résumé ou extrait
  • "Military objectives often can be pursued using a number of different approaches: airpower versus ground forces, larger munitions versus smaller ones, more- or less-restrictive rules of engagement. Military effectiveness often favors the immediate application of overwhelming force, but militaries and their civilian overseers often opt for more-restrained approaches. Understanding how and why policymakers have chosen to impose these restraints in the past and how and why they are likely to do so in the future is critical to understanding how states will conduct future wars. This report identifies four key trends likely to shape the future exercise of restraint in warfare: the spread of lawfare (or use of law as a weapon of war), the widespread distribution of imagery of U.S. military operations, the increasing effectiveness of false accusations, and the increasing public concern for civilian casualties. These trends are assessed for how likely they are to affect both conflict between states and between states and nonstate actors, in addition to how the effects of these trends might differ for different types of states. Overall, these trends appear likely to further increase the incentives of decisionmakers in liberal democratic states to avoid civilian casualties in conflicts against weaker adversaries and to support investments in capabilities to make this possible. Other states that are more autocratic are not likely to be similarly constrained, and policymakers in democratic states will need to adapt to this asymmetry. Between highly capable state actors, conflict is less likely to occur but could involve very different incentives if operational considerations prompt a sharp reduction in the degree of restraint exercised beyond each state's legal obligations and the public shows a greater tolerance of heightened levels of military casualties and collateral damage to civilians. This report also provides specific recommendations for U.S. policymakers to begin to adapt to these anticipated trends." (4e de couverture)
Sujet - Collectivité
Sujet - Nom commun
Lien copié.
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