Monographie

Lessons from Russia's operations in Crimea and Eastern Ukraine / Michael Kofman, Katya Migacheva, Brian Nichiporuk,... [et al.]

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  • Volume
  • Lessons from Russia's operations in Crimea and Eastern Ukraine / Michael Kofman, Katya Migacheva, Brian Nichiporuk,... [et al.]
  • Santa Monica (Calif.) : Rand corporation
  • C 2017
  • 1 vol. (XVII-109 pages) : ill., cartes, graph. ; 23 cm
  • [Research report] RR-1498-A
  • 978-0-8330-9606-7
  • 0-8330-9606-0
  • [Research report] RR-1498-A
  • 947.708 6
  • RR-1498-A
  • La p. de titre porte en plus : "Prepared for the United States Army"
  • Consultable à l'adresse
  • Bibliographie pages 95-109
  • Chapter One: Introduction Chapter Two: The annexation of Crimea How Russia annexed Crimea Characteristics of the Crimean operation Factors enabling Russia's operational successes Factors contributing to Russia's operational shortcomings Conclusion: implications and effects Chapter Three: Separatism and aggression in Eastern Ukraine (March-May 2014) How Russia destabilized Eastern Ukraine Characteristics of the Eastern Ukraine operation Russia's possible lessons learned Russia's operational shortcomings Conclusion: implications and effects Chapter Four: Conclusion Appendixes A. Information campaign B. Timeline (February 18-May 31, 2014)
  • La 4e de couv. indique : "This report assesses the annexation of Crimea by Russia (February--March 2014) and the early phases of political mobilization and combat operations in Eastern Ukraine (late February--late May 2014). It examines Russia's approach, draws inferences from Moscow's intentions, and evaluates the likelihood of such methods being used again elsewhere. These two distinct campaigns overlap somewhat but offer different lessons for participants and observers. The report finds that Russia's operation to annex Crimea represented a decisive and competent use of military force in pursuit of political ends. Russia's operations in Crimea benefited from highly favorable circumstances--political, historical, geographical, and military--that limit their generalizability. Analysis of the operation underscores that there are many remaining unknowns about Russia's military capabilities, especially in the aftermath of its military reforms and modernization program. The report also finds that the campaign in Eastern Ukraine was an ineffectually implemented--and perhaps ill-conceived--effort to achieve political fragmentation of Ukraine via federalization and retain Russian influence. Russia achieved its primary objectives but at a much higher cost than desired and through a fitful cycle of adaptation. This study thus questions the desirability for Moscow to replicate a course of events similar to the campaign in Eastern Ukraine. Conversely, the operation to annex Crimea was a highly successful employment of select elements within Russia's armed forces, making it an attractive use of military power, but the structural and operation factors contributing to its success raise doubts whether it can be repeated elsewhere."
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