Monographie

Transnational threats from the Middle East : crying wolf or crying havoc ? / Anthony H. Cordesman

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Type de médiation

Titre(s)

Transnational threats from the Middle East : crying wolf or crying havoc ? / Anthony H. Cordesman

Auteur(s)

Editeur, producteur

Description matérielle

ISBN

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Note(s)

"31 mai 1999"
Textes issus de communications, présentés lors de la conférence intitulée "Mediterranean security into the coming millennium", tenue au "U.S. Army War College--Pepperdine University", à Florence, Italie, les 26-27 octobre 1998

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Note sur le contenu

Real and potential threats Dangers of region-wide generalizations Narcotics and organized crime Immigration "Conventional" terrorism Appendix A. Major Middle Eastern terrorist groups Proliferation and long-range missile strikes Appendix B. Threat posed by proliferation in the Middle East Appendix C. Iraqi break out capabilities Terrorism and weapons of mass destruction Appendix D. Challenge terrorism and unconventional warfare pose to the west Appendix E. Attack scenarios: "Dr. Ben No" and "Professor Abu Moriarity" at work in the Middle East Appendix F. Counterproliferation policy options Appendix F. Counterproliferation policy options Appendix G. Possible force improvements affecting counterproliferation policy Energy dependence Conclusions

Résumé ou extrait

L'avant-propos (p. V) indique en partie : "There is no doubt that the Middle East can present significant potential threats to the West. The author of this monograph examines these threats in order to put them into perspective--to distinguish between "crying wolf" and "crying havoc." After thorough analysis, he contends that the problems caused by narcotics and organized crime, immigration, terrorism, and weapons of mass destruction do not as yet require draconian action by the Western nations. However, he asserts that if the threats of Middle Eastern terrorism and proliferation were to be combined into super- terrorism, the result would create a new form of asymmetric warfare for which the West is singularly ill-prepared. Professor Anthony H. Cordesman, an internationally recognized expert of long-standing on these issues, has provided this comprehensive assessment. Presented originally at the U.S. Army War College--Pepperdine University cosponsored conference on Mediterranean Security into the Coming Millennium, held October 26-27,1998, in Florence, Italy, his appraisal is a valuable reference for analysts who are studying the potential consequences of these threats to U.S. security."

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